Macro Analysis

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Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
Inflation Just Moved From the Pump to the Service Counter

Inflation Just Moved From the Pump to the Service Counter

Service-sector prices just ran at their hottest pace since 2022. Four names get paid for it.

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The Deal Machine Split In Two, And The Market Sold Both Halves

The Deal Machine Split In Two, And The Market Sold Both Halves

Dealmaking just had its slowest quarter in over a year. The firms that run it already paid for it.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The 5% World Just Arrived and Most Portfolios Aren't Built For It

The 5% World Just Arrived and Most Portfolios Aren't Built For It

Two macro forces are setting up the biggest regime shift of the year. Here's where to hide.

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Higher For Longer Just Became Higher Forever

Higher For Longer Just Became Higher Forever

The setup that's rewriting every price on your screen. Plus the four names built to survive it.

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What If the War Ends?

What If the War Ends?

The whole market is positioned for a long war. Here's your hedge if Hormuz reopens.

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The Market's Safety Cushion Just Disappeared

The Market's Safety Cushion Just Disappeared

Stocks and the 10-year now pay you about the same. That changes which stocks deserve your money.

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You're Living Through Three Bull Markets at Once

You're Living Through Three Bull Markets at Once

Crude, gold, and AI names are all bid at once. The old playbook? Cooked.

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The Buyer Shortage Behind Your 5% Discount Rate

The Buyer Shortage Behind Your 5% Discount Rate

Capital just got expensive. Here is what that does to every position you own.

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The Stagflation Playbook You Now Need

The Stagflation Playbook You Now Need

The old playbook just got shredded. Here's what top investors are repositioning for now.

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The Grain Rally Is Real: The Farm Balance Sheet Is Not

The Grain Rally Is Real: The Farm Balance Sheet Is Not

Grain prices are at 52-week highs, and the farm still cannot pay its bills. That gap is your trade.

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The Bond Market Is Now Underwriting The AI Boom

The Bond Market Is Now Underwriting The AI Boom

The AI boom stopped being an equity story this year. It is a credit story now.

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The Two-Lane Economy Most Portfolios Are Missing

The Two-Lane Economy Most Portfolios Are Missing

One guy just drove a Ferrari off the lot. The other maxed out Klarna on back-to-school shoes. Both are moving markets.